shaw
0x03f4bd4bd14e0dffa6f012d023387e1a327f7e44
- Realised P&L
- $-17.8k
- Volume
- $10.68M
- Markets traded
- 4,960
- Open portfolio
- $18.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,960
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Bills · Bills | 0.700 | 0.925 | $4.6k | +$1.1k |
| Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova · Marta Kostyuk | 0.770 | 0.875 | $4.4k | +$525.00 |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings · Dallas Wings | 0.750 | 0.790 | $4.0k | +$200.00 |
| Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-17? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.675 | $3.4k | −$475.00 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.470 | 0.665 | $731.50 | +$214.50 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.431 | 0.837 | $418.25 | +$202.75 |
| Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians · Athletics | 0.360 | 0.365 | $345.34 | +$4.73 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox · Detroit Tigers | 0.490 | 0.215 | $129.00 | −$165.00 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.400 | 0.410 | $74.92 | +$1.83 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles | 0.400 | 0.420 | $70.18 | +$3.34 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.440 | 0.445 | $29.87 | +$0.34 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros · Kansas City Royals | 0.417 | 0.034 | $17.00 | −$191.50 |
| Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Athletics | 0.281 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Texas Rangers | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$230.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$217.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.5kat 0.080Spread: Japan (-3.5)
- +$8.3kat 0.170US Open ATP: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Fils
- +$7.3kat 0.480Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
- +$6.0kat 0.620LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$5.8kat 0.340Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:24 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.9k |
| 09-18 00:07 | Lions vs. Bills | BUY | 0.7 | $3.5k |
| 09-17 22:55 | Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.49 | $294.00 |
| 09-17 22:55 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.47 | $517.00 |
| 09-17 17:03 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.5k |
| 09-17 16:50 | Will OFI win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.5k |
| 09-17 16:45 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.4 | $114.80 |
| 09-16 23:09 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.46 | $276.00 |
| 09-16 23:08 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.49 | $294.00 |
| 09-16 22:40 | Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.38 | $1.6k |
| 09-16 22:25 | Sao Paulo Open: Justina Mikulskyte vs Paula Badosa | BUY | 0.93 | $4.7k |
| 09-16 20:11 | Sao Paulo Open: Vendula Valdmannova vs Laura Pigossi | BUY | 0.75 | $3.8k |
| 09-16 19:26 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.7k |
| 09-16 17:36 | Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.7k |
| 09-16 17:35 | Will AZ win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.3k |