seadirtyr
0x03f41d193185c1904dacf681354b448599e50ab3
- Realised P&L
- $-145.49
- Volume
- $27.7k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $80.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.487 | 0.108 | $80.69 | −$283.31 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · No | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.50at 0.935No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$6.42at 0.984Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$6.13at 0.461Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$2.66at 0.900Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$2.44at 0.992Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 07:44 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $9.57 |
| 05-21 05:52 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5 | $196.42 |
| 05-21 05:49 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3756573304 | $115.61 |
| 05-21 05:45 | Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.56 | $96.00 |
| 05-21 05:44 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5 | $158.01 |
| 03-16 12:10 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.56 | $64.82 |
| 03-16 12:10 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $200.05 |
| 03-16 12:10 | Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8166430135 | $140.00 |
| 03-16 12:09 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.05 |
| 01-28 05:35 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8809999995 | $101.98 |
| 01-28 05:34 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $101.98 |
| 01-28 05:33 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9921602052 | $439.54 |
| 01-28 05:33 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.995 | $439.44 |
| 01-13 05:30 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $98.78 |
| 01-13 05:27 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.99 | $314.16 |