0x03EFA68836767Bba9B3855A62F3EF4372909f04E-1783305120694
0x03efa68836767bba9b3855a62f3ef4372909f04e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.84
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $7.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.450 | 0.445 | $4.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.242 | $2.85 | +$0.85 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.97 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET · Up | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Athletics | 0.286 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals · Washington Nationals | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Down | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.83 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Chicago Cubs | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.80at 0.392Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics
- +$4.44at 0.376Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?
- +$4.31at 0.321Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners
- +$3.98at 0.562San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- +$3.82at 0.572Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 07:40 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 04:24 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 04:23 | San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 01:40 | San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.549999945 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 01:40 | San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 06:46 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 07:18 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 01:59 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 03:33 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 03:27 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 16:17 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 10:18 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 10:22 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.519999885 | $1.99 |
| 09-23 10:22 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 10:21 | Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |