PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x03ef6098D26DDA1479284b5AE15838BcC31b6f4F-1768050243620

0x03ef6098d26dda1479284b5ae15838bcc31b6f4f

Realised P&L
$-238.10
Volume
$12.3k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$24.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5200.315$18.17$11.83
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0370.025$6.76$3.24
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament? · Yes0.3030.000$0.00$100.00
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? · Yes0.4970.000$0.00$60.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$40.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$60.00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$10.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00$50.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$20.00
Will Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$40.00
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 14:52Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5199999979$30.00
08-26 14:52Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0369999965$10.00
08-26 14:52Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0084168078$10.00
07-19 21:46Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0741110001$20.03
07-19 21:02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.633$95.07
07-19 21:01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.6401521783$31.89
07-05 21:44Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0337173331$10.00
07-02 17:29Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1849999972$50.00
07-02 17:29Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0359999991$40.00
06-24 15:23Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?BUY0.0106347577$20.00
06-18 06:26Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6099999817$33.00
06-18 06:22Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.02$33.33
06-17 02:48Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?BUY0.496935564$60.00
06-11 16:46Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0299999994$50.00
06-03 14:53Will Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5599999972$40.00