0x03ef6098D26DDA1479284b5AE15838BcC31b6f4F-1768050243620
0x03ef6098d26dda1479284b5ae15838bcc31b6f4f
- Realised P&L
- $-238.10
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $24.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.64at 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$64.35at 0.567Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$62.62at 0.625Will AJ Brown be traded?
- +$27.49at 0.107Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-19.10at 0.031Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 14:52 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999979 | $30.00 |
| 08-26 14:52 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0369999965 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 14:52 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0084168078 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:46 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0741110001 | $20.03 |
| 07-19 21:02 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.633 | $95.07 |
| 07-19 21:01 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.6401521783 | $31.89 |
| 07-05 21:44 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0337173331 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 17:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1849999972 | $50.00 |
| 07-02 17:29 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0359999991 | $40.00 |
| 06-24 15:23 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.0106347577 | $20.00 |
| 06-18 06:26 | Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6099999817 | $33.00 |
| 06-18 06:22 | Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.02 | $33.33 |
| 06-17 02:48 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.496935564 | $60.00 |
| 06-11 16:46 | Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $50.00 |
| 06-03 14:53 | Will Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5599999972 | $40.00 |