0x03ec99959862c4adc9b7de8149603ae5922bbaa3
0x03ec99959862c4adc9b7de8149603ae5922bbaa3
- Realised P&L
- $-28.92
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $2.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)15.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.392 | 0.391 | $2.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.00at 0.550Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?
- +$2.77at 0.474Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$-0.38at 0.520Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$-1.05at 0.004Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?
- +$-2.28at 0.003Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 15:04 | Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.16 |
| 10-02 15:04 | Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 15:03 | Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:59 | Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0037736205 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:59 | Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:57 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3921074008 | $3.00 |
| 07-17 18:09 | Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.16 | $2.41 |
| 07-17 18:09 | Argentina leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.2199999431 | $2.63 |
| 07-12 09:52 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.4589999109 | $2.42 |
| 07-12 09:52 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4299999892 | $8.34 |
| 07-09 18:36 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3599999126 | $2.47 |
| 07-09 18:35 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.227499975 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 18:35 | Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.539999964 | $6.00 |
| 07-09 18:34 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1424999768 | $5.00 |
| 04-15 17:20 | Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4599999789 | $9.60 |