DBomb
0x03e786b6e5c9b29d9d93fb84ff58d50be68b9948
- Realised P&L
- $-4.4k
- Volume
- $175.4k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $8.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$885.89at 0.848Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$772.12at 0.667Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$756.38at 0.790Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
- +$741.17at 0.776Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$634.60at 0.820Democratic sweep?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 13:05 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8481645295 | $2.0k |
| 08-26 02:41 | Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? | BUY | 0.9381353621 | $250.00 |
| 08-07 18:36 | Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.2104459448 | $220.00 |
| 07-19 03:47 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.925 | $2.8k |
| 06-23 13:58 | Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.8985011724 | $100.00 |
| 06-23 13:41 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8801271732 | $400.00 |
| 06-23 13:40 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.66 | $2.0k |
| 05-19 19:25 | Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | BUY | 0.9499999981 | $100.00 |
| 05-19 19:24 | Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | BUY | 0.9422116777 | $500.00 |
| 05-19 19:22 | Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | BUY | 0.9424603169 | $500.00 |
| 05-19 19:19 | Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | BUY | 0.9420453689 | $600.00 |
| 05-19 18:14 | Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | BUY | 0.4043559692 | $60.00 |
| 05-19 18:00 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8729093548 | $200.00 |
| 05-18 13:41 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.4299999985 | $100.00 |
| 05-18 13:39 | Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | BUY | 0.3263395823 | $100.00 |