0x03ce1faad96490c4779a169ec00d37d1a0adec3e
0x03ce1faad96490c4779a169ec00d37d1a0adec3e
- Realised P&L
- $-12.83
- Volume
- $148.88
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $2.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.976 | $1.41 | +$0.41 |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%? · No | 0.640 | 0.740 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.91at 0.351Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?
- +$1.76at 0.422Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.71at 0.430Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?
- +$1.31at 0.570Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 09:52 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 01:28 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 16:57 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 05:39 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 21:27 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 20:40 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:30 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:30 | Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026? | BUY | 0.6009998233 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:23 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 03:37 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 08-14 16:06 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 14:28 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 06:20 | Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 22:13 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-12 02:06 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |