KickStreamer
0x03c4f0465f4b38b9110dd5a455665fe89994fa2a
- Realised P&L
- $137.87
- Volume
- $27.3k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.942 | 0.976 | $1.6k | +$54.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.15at 0.972Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
- +$15.37at 0.989MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$12.82at 0.991Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
- +$9.62at 0.993Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$8.90at 0.994Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 19:57 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9415531837 | $1.5k |
| 08-28 21:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.5k |
| 07-21 03:20 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.5k |
| 07-04 05:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.4k |
| 06-12 18:11 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.4k |
| 06-12 04:52 | Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.4k |
| 05-21 18:26 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.4k |