0x1a918a8386f75f382e2a1b2e10b807c39728caf2
0x03c45e1aa50d645d398bfa32d746d44b676a01bd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $267.3k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $968.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.711 | 0.915 | $643.84 | +$143.84 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.003 | $208.33 | −$791.67 |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.790 | 0.918 | $116.27 | +$16.27 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.506 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$800.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5 · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.328Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
- +$2.1kat 0.636Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$985.26at 0.670US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$874.09at 0.629Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$305.30at 0.552Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 21:41 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.024 | $739.61 |
| 06-28 02:16 | Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.189775315 | $50.00 |
| 06-28 02:16 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.1324534173 | $34.90 |
| 06-06 01:06 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.5065320409 | $800.00 |
| 05-21 23:28 | Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5 | BUY | 0.5299999984 | $150.00 |
| 05-21 23:27 | Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.9875823965 | $100.00 |
| 05-21 23:26 | Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9858721521 | $200.00 |
| 05-21 23:22 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.4199999995 | $350.00 |
| 05-21 23:22 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.5399999995 | $500.00 |
| 05-21 23:22 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5 | $200.00 |
| 05-21 23:20 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7105774053 | $500.00 |
| 05-21 23:19 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY | 0.9198401317 | $500.00 |
| 05-21 23:18 | Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $100.00 |
| 05-21 23:17 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.3794876906 | $100.00 |
| 05-21 23:17 | Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.3795255908 | $100.00 |