0x03bE6634869D110Dab7042229E52350EB3Deb780-1769095676964
0x03be6634869d110dab7042229e52350eb3deb780
- Realised P&L
- $128.83
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $284.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Yes | 0.160 | 1.000 | $250.00 | +$210.00 |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? · No | 0.377 | 0.500 | $26.55 | +$6.55 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.125 | $7.58 | −$12.42 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · No | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-3.84at 0.520Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$-5.77at 0.520Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-23 14:06 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.3765918373 | $20.00 |
| 01-23 14:06 | Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.1399999962 | $30.00 |
| 01-22 17:56 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? | BUY | 0.3299999922 | $20.00 |
| 01-22 17:51 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.017 | $20.00 |
| 01-22 17:51 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 01-22 17:50 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.015 | $5.00 |
| 01-22 17:50 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 01-22 17:49 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 01-22 17:48 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 01-22 17:47 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $195.75 |
| 01-22 17:47 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $294.23 |
| 01-22 15:40 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999989 | $199.59 |
| 01-22 15:40 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.52 | $300.00 |