katsura.dev
0x03b5d8fd5f45a3db3a55448daf2b904809c83481
- Realised P&L
- $-602.52
- Volume
- $56.0k
- Markets traded
- 506
- Open portfolio
- $2.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded506
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.00at 0.090Qatar Total Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa
- +$52.10at 0.010XRP Up or Down on February 8?
- +$39.02at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
- +$31.15at 0.521Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$31.08at 0.030Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 6PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 11-01 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.074 | $1.11 |
| 11-01 11:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 11-01 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.53 |
| 10-31 14:14 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 10-31 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.073 | $0.36 |
| 10-31 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.0603125 | $0.12 |
| 10-31 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 10-31 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.09 |
| 07-05 12:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | SELL | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 07-05 12:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | SELL | 0.68 | $13.82 |
| 04-09 20:38 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.44 |
| 04-09 11:47 | Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.47 | $8.72 |
| 04-09 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 9? | BUY | 0.5575312324 | $8.97 |
| 04-09 09:58 | Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.48 | $8.91 |