PolyBot

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Traders

katsura.dev

0x03b5d8fd5f45a3db3a55448daf2b904809c83481

Realised P&L
$-602.52
Volume
$56.0k
Markets traded
506
Open portfolio
$2.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded506
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on November 2? · Yes0.0300.025$0.83−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on November 2? · Yes0.0370.032$0.47−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 2? · Yes0.0400.064$0.39+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 2? · Yes0.0220.013$0.27−$0.19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 2? · Yes0.0360.014$0.21−$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 2? · Yes0.0220.008$0.15−$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 2? · Yes0.0800.015$0.02−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 2? · Yes0.0220.001$0.01−$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 1? · Yes0.0480.001$0.01−$0.76
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on November 1? · Yes0.0290.001$0.01−$0.43
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 31? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 31? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 31? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 31? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$0.82
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on November 1? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$0.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 15:48Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 1?SELL0.03$0.30
11-01 13:10Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 2?SELL0.074$1.11
11-01 11:31Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 2?BUY0.07$1.05
11-01 05:29Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?SELL0.035$0.53
10-31 14:14Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?SELL0.02$0.10
10-31 08:14Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 31?SELL0.073$0.36
10-31 06:21Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 31?SELL0.0603125$0.12
10-31 06:21Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 31?SELL0.07$0.35
10-31 04:38Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 31?SELL0.08$0.09
07-05 12:29Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETSELL0.31$3.10
07-05 12:29Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETSELL0.68$13.82
04-09 20:38Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 9?SELL0.999$16.44
04-09 11:47Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?SELL0.47$8.72
04-09 11:20Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 9?BUY0.5575312324$8.97
04-09 09:58Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?BUY0.48$8.91