0x03b152CF40Bf783f870420bbb42Dd414fac5B4F2-1773742990517
0x03b152cf40bf783f870420bbb42dd414fac5b4f2
- Realised P&L
- $2.05
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $219.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23? · Up | 0.597 | 0.745 | $171.35 | +$33.95 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on September 23? · Down | 0.317 | 0.210 | $48.30 | −$24.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.91at 0.393Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?
- +$85.16at 0.148Ethereum Up or Down on September 7?
- +$45.74at 0.085Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25?
- +$43.74at 0.125Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
- +$43.06at 0.385Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 01:29 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.33 | $9.90 |
| 09-23 01:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.58 | $17.40 |
| 09-23 01:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 09-23 01:26 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 09-23 01:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 09-23 01:19 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 09-09 07:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.38 | $21.66 |
| 09-09 07:00 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.55 | $30.25 |
| 09-09 06:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.37 | $9.52 |
| 09-09 06:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.37 | $14.80 |
| 09-09 06:31 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.56 | $38.08 |
| 09-09 06:29 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 09-09 06:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 09-07 02:52 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 7? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 09-07 02:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 7? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |