transavai
0x03afaabe69981edcbda3c01bc0d3f3fc7cd833ae
- Realised P&L
- $-183.88
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $20.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.038 | $10.86 | −$45.54 |
| China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.041 | $9.37 | −$7.63 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.002 | $0.15 | −$9.85 |
| 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-2.00at 0.007Crude Oil all time high by March 31?
- +$-4.78at 0.015Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
- +$-5.00at 0.098Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$-9.08at 0.183Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
- +$-10.00at 0.010Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-30 19:32 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0153106063 | $4.78 |
| 03-30 19:31 | Crude Oil all time high by March 31? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.00 |
| 03-30 19:27 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0979999826 | $5.00 |
| 03-30 19:23 | Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.92 |
| 03-10 10:19 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0295538841 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 10:19 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0822193204 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 10:19 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0101409677 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 10:19 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March? | BUY | 0.1099999956 | $20.00 |
| 03-10 10:17 | Will Trump say "N Word" in March? | BUY | 0.0636369392 | $20.00 |
| 03-10 10:17 | Will Trump say "Little Rocket Man" in March? | BUY | 0.0993384062 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 10:15 | Will Trump say "Aliens are Real" in March? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 10:09 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%? | BUY | 0.0995333875 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 10:08 | 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 10:08 | Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? | BUY | 0.1831625358 | $20.00 |
| 03-10 10:06 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.0734869728 | $17.00 |