PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

transavai

0x03afaabe69981edcbda3c01bc0d3f3fc7cd833ae

Realised P&L
$-183.88
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$20.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.2000.038$10.86$45.54
China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes0.0730.041$9.37$7.63
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%? · Yes0.1000.002$0.15$9.85
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-30 19:32Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?BUY0.0153106063$4.78
03-30 19:31Crude Oil all time high by March 31?BUY0.007$2.00
03-30 19:27Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?BUY0.0979999826$5.00
03-30 19:23Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?SELL0.1$10.92
03-10 10:19Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?BUY0.0295538841$10.00
03-10 10:19Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?BUY0.0822193204$10.00
03-10 10:19Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?BUY0.0101409677$10.00
03-10 10:19Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?BUY0.1099999956$20.00
03-10 10:17Will Trump say "N Word" in March?BUY0.0636369392$20.00
03-10 10:17Will Trump say "Little Rocket Man" in March?BUY0.0993384062$10.00
03-10 10:15Will Trump say "Aliens are Real" in March?BUY0.1$10.00
03-10 10:09Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?BUY0.0995333875$10.00
03-10 10:08100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
03-10 10:08Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?BUY0.1831625358$20.00
03-10 10:06China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.0734869728$17.00