PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

flopyfloy

0x03a99432232dd61db25d1b4c1e3d0624de38ec2a

Realised P&L
$-96.10
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$18.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.1780.067$18.62−$31.38
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes0.2600.001$0.05−$12.95
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$24.00
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $14B by July 31? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$22.56
Will Cristopher Sánchez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season? · Yes0.1750.000$0.00−$7.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 17:54Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $14B by July 31?SELL0.01$0.05
07-01 12:53Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.37$7.40
06-30 18:08Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?SELL0.38$27.74
06-28 19:17Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?SELL0.34$6.80
06-26 05:51Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?SELL0.15$5.33
06-26 05:49Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.47$25.20
06-25 15:45Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?SELL0.38$5.65
06-25 14:04Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.32$22.72
06-24 18:50Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?SELL0.38$4.56
06-24 18:49Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?SELL0.38$9.50
06-24 17:53Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?SELL0.38$15.58
06-24 08:21Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.39$6.76
06-24 05:43Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.27$28.89
06-23 16:47Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.47$3.23
06-18 08:18Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.26$27.82