whippas
0x039e6867dfddd40554ad84c193529bd0d133b073
- Realised P&L
- $165.72
- Volume
- $25.2k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $352.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · No | 0.930 | 0.954 | $220.33 | +$5.61 |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? · No | 0.852 | 0.910 | $69.93 | +$4.52 |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.053 | $25.95 | −$9.98 |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.288 | 0.070 | $21.86 | −$68.12 |
| Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.028 | $14.85 | −$21.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.69at 0.353Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
- +$75.00at 0.571Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$72.78at 0.871Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$38.84at 0.429Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?
- +$33.65at 0.090Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 13:10 | Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.9633412969 | $282.26 |
| 09-05 03:46 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0161012137 | $6.10 |
| 09-02 01:03 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.012117 | $10.91 |
| 08-05 20:55 | Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.49 | $0.49 |
| 08-05 20:52 | Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.49 | $242.55 |
| 08-03 17:43 | Will Blake Butera win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? | SELL | 0.0702380952 | $2.95 |
| 08-03 17:42 | Will Blake Butera win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? | SELL | 0.0723353333 | $10.85 |
| 07-29 01:33 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | SELL | 0.55 | $377.20 |
| 07-29 01:23 | Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.4299999996 | $213.34 |
| 07-23 12:52 | Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.9390879765 | $320.23 |
| 07-22 23:20 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.744 | $378.70 |
| 07-22 23:19 | Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.590172619 | $99.15 |
| 07-20 15:01 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.741 | $95.59 |
| 07-20 15:01 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.7416198428 | $235.84 |
| 07-20 14:47 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.957 | $826.85 |