BlacksheepMega
0x039c6f68b3ef5f7817b8b4ec4d90684695f755eb
- Realised P&L
- $-275.08
- Volume
- $36.8k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $39.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.04at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
- +$61.87at 0.286Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$52.54at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
- +$38.58at 0.341Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
- +$32.62at 0.479Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 07:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 07:14 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6435643373 | $20.00 |
| 09-01 01:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $20.00 |
| 08-25 08:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August? | BUY | 0.6 | $40.00 |
| 07-13 06:55 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.207 | $6.39 |
| 07-11 10:25 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2449999934 | $25.00 |
| 07-11 10:24 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5049999926 | $20.00 |
| 07-08 13:12 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5799999892 | $15.00 |
| 07-08 13:12 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 16:35 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.8299999748 | $30.00 |
| 06-07 18:16 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0969999839 | $5.00 |
| 06-07 18:15 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1619999756 | $5.00 |
| 04-18 10:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $8.73 |
| 04-18 10:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 04-17 14:27 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 17? | BUY | 0.75 | $17.64 |