0x038fc63E562c5bD1C2a049B6c687BB5D82B24535-1759967140751
0x038fc63e562c5bd1c2a049b6c687bb5d82b24535
- Realised P&L
- $-5.8k
- Volume
- $134.3k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $26.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$850.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down - October 16, 6PM ET
- +$202.54at 0.404Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
- +$202.03at 0.627UTEP vs. Sam Houston Bearkats
- +$155.77at 0.198Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$154.20at 0.429Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-07 06:28 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.085 | $40.53 |
| 03-06 14:47 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.081 | $8.10 |
| 03-06 14:46 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.51 |
| 03-06 14:37 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $17.60 |
| 11-26 10:25 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.161 | $0.36 |
| 11-25 12:02 | Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.15 |
| 11-25 12:02 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.3399950219 | $178.94 |
| 11-25 12:01 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.3379999317 | $2.00 |
| 11-25 12:01 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.3379999868 | $14.00 |
| 11-25 12:00 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | SELL | 0.662 | $33.99 |
| 11-25 11:59 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | SELL | 0.6631779696 | $32.27 |
| 11-25 11:59 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.676 | $67.60 |
| 11-25 11:56 | Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026?? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 11-25 11:56 | Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.07 | $21.00 |
| 11-25 11:55 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.37 | $100.85 |