PolyBot

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Traders

0x038fc63E562c5bD1C2a049B6c687BB5D82B24535-1759967140751

0x038fc63e562c5bd1c2a049b6c687bb5d82b24535

Realised P&L
$-5.8k
Volume
$134.3k
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$26.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes0.0830.029$26.77$49.56
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on March 31? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$0.17
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$4.95
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Down0.3980.000$0.00$19.90
Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.0970.000$0.00$31.60
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET · Up0.6850.000$0.00$13.71
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 11AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$19.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET · Down0.1040.000$0.00$1.04
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · No0.1400.000$0.00$450.55
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1? · Yes0.1810.000$0.00$123.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET · Down0.0960.000$0.00$23.00
Will Key (KEY) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.3300.000$0.00$3.30
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET · Down0.3180.000$0.00$254.09
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 17? · No0.1280.000$0.00$169.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-07 06:28Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.085$40.53
03-06 14:47Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.081$8.10
03-06 14:46Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.08$0.51
03-06 14:37Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.08$17.60
11-26 10:25Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.161$0.36
11-25 12:02Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.07$1.15
11-25 12:02Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.3399950219$178.94
11-25 12:01Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.3379999317$2.00
11-25 12:01Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.3379999868$14.00
11-25 12:00Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?SELL0.662$33.99
11-25 11:59Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?SELL0.6631779696$32.27
11-25 11:59Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.676$67.60
11-25 11:56Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??BUY0.46$46.00
11-25 11:56Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.07$21.00
11-25 11:55Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.37$100.85