PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x038c1908567a881266d9910c898a8e963a868aad

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$279.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6590.375$279.48−$211.77
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1320.000$0.00−$601.87
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00−$1.8k
Rio Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ignacio Buse · Fonseca0.7600.000$0.00−$76.00
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$104.97
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$56.00
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$1.8k
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025? · Yes0.8800.000$0.00−$352.00
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$365.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 12:36Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.64$13.64
07-07 12:34Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.003$105.00
07-01 18:16Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.659713524$477.61
05-28 23:49Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY0.0361658108$365.31
05-07 11:13Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.71$142.00
05-07 11:10Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY0.51$510.00
05-06 21:42Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.154$154.00
03-30 18:58Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.119$1.8k
03-11 05:01Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.34$34.00
03-06 15:38Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.126$16.02
03-02 17:22Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.5$40.00
03-02 17:19Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.51$70.89
03-02 17:18Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.51$83.64
03-01 03:14Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.1279537649$96.86
03-01 03:13Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.127$60.76