PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DanExplorer

0x0387813bec818fd16c30e820b2c51167a97fb62b

Realised P&L
$-55.84
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$53.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6500.725$11.15+$1.15
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo? · No0.9760.948$9.71−$0.29
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1440.123$8.58−$1.42
Will Liverpool finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · Yes0.7800.840$5.38+$0.38
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0240.025$5.10+$0.10
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.8740.838$4.79−$0.21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2340.203$4.35−$0.65
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5210.441$4.23−$0.77
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00−$10.00
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over0.7400.000$0.00−$5.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 07:13Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.649999974$10.00
09-26 06:52Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.92$11.08
09-26 06:51Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.699999972$5.00
09-26 06:51Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
09-26 06:51Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.7099999702$5.00
09-26 06:46Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?BUY0.976$10.00
09-26 06:43Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5709999625$5.00
09-26 06:42Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5209999991$5.00
09-20 03:16Will Liverpool finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?BUY0.7799999813$5.00
09-20 03:15Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-20 03:15Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.5599999642$5.00
09-20 03:14Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.449999964$5.00
09-20 03:14Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.7399999734$5.00
09-20 03:11US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?BUY0.0596636163$5.00
09-20 03:09Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.015$0.28