romanew-8-win-yes
0x03759cc53b7c86272c221534bc21ba181b625f13
- Realised P&L
- $489.30
- Volume
- $210.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,838
- Open portfolio
- $340.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,838
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.86at 0.001Will Justin Bieber play "Beauty and a Beat" first at Coachella?
- +$31.64at 0.003Will Team Spirit Win the EWC Mobile Legends: Bang Bang Mid Season Cup?
- +$28.87at 0.004Will Declan Rice record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
- +$26.35at 0.003Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11.5B by December 31?
- +$18.00at 0.006Will Uruguay (16) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 13:55 | Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.135 | $1.12 |
| 04-20 11:00 | Will Clayton Johnson win The Bachelorette Season 22? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.03 |
| 04-12 13:14 | Will Justin Bieber play "Beauty and a Beat" first at Coachella? | SELL | 0.635 | $118.36 |
| 01-19 19:39 | Will Laremy Tunsil win the NFL Protector of the Year? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 01-09 19:38 | Will Billy Horschel win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.23 |