0x03733f04C793fCBcE84D0b152c7d018d77144Af7-1782621438983
0x03733f04c793fcbce84d0b152c7d018d77144af7
- Realised P&L
- $-3.34
- Volume
- $646.93
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $11.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.456 | 0.495 | $7.23 | +$0.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.190 | $4.32 | −$0.68 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-09? · No | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.38at 0.642Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 5?
- +$10.72at 0.125Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
- +$5.10at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 7?
- +$4.55at 0.555Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
- +$3.17at 0.607Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 08:48 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 08:45 | Will Málaga CF win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 08:44 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4561507928 | $6.66 |
| 10-08 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.86 |
| 10-07 08:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.3679283183 | $8.88 |
| 10-07 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.19 | $6.58 |
| 10-07 00:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2243944685 | $7.77 |
| 10-05 04:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 21:47 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.8975 | $9.95 |
| 07-19 09:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5949999793 | $6.60 |
| 07-14 15:13 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.405 | $3.24 |
| 07-14 15:09 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2149999495 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 17:16 | Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 England? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.00 |