takeitHome
0x0372391bb0d299deebcb3179d6077ecf38211c94
- Realised P&L
- $-51.23
- Volume
- $34.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,919
- Open portfolio
- $18.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,919
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.750 | $15.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.185 | $3.70 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$235.65at 0.590Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$10.24at 0.314Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$10.09at 0.120Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
- +$9.59at 0.513Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
- +$8.83at 0.406Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 00:10 | Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 10-02 23:47 | Will "Look at Me!" by XXXTENTACION be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.12 |
| 10-02 23:05 | Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.67 | $23.45 |
| 10-02 20:53 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 10-02 19:26 | Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | SELL | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 10-02 18:32 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 10-02 18:32 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 10-02 17:24 | Spain snap election called by October 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 10-02 17:23 | Spain snap election called by October 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 15:41 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 10-02 14:32 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October? | SELL | 0.78 | $12.48 |
| 10-02 12:25 | Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | SELL | 0.689 | $13.78 |
| 10-02 11:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 10-02 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.47 | $0.94 |
| 10-02 05:32 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? | SELL | 0.71 | $5.68 |