PolyBot

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Traders

Grisk

0x0371d66567d3f0b06711ba5922e06937ca0792bb

Realised P&L
$-584.2k
Volume
$2.34M
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-24.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4900.385$3.1k−$839.63
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · No0.0300.029$196.65−$10.29
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yes0.6450.000$0.00−$214.0k
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 · No0.1470.000$0.00−$6.9k
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 · Yes0.1510.000$0.00−$4.1k
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Cardinals vs. Buccaneers · Cardinals0.3800.000$0.00−$2.4k
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Cardinals vs. Chargers · Chargers0.7020.000$0.00−$2.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 00:47Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.49$3.9k
10-29 20:57Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?BUY0.0299924638$206.95
09-13 20:38Cardinals vs. ChargersBUY0.7022981047$2.7k
09-12 23:12Middle Tennessee vs. MarshallBUY0.7975580936$1000.00
09-12 23:10Tulsa vs. Sam HoustonBUY0.7299999999$700.00
09-12 23:06Middle Tennessee vs. MarshallBUY0.7799999999$1000.00
09-12 22:47Tulsa vs. Sam HoustonBUY0.82$733.87
09-12 22:46Iowa State vs. IowaBUY0.8494042842$1.5k
09-12 22:44Middle Tennessee vs. MarshallBUY0.82$1.7k
01-08 06:41Bills vs. JaguarsBUY0.51$2.0k
11-30 16:12Cardinals vs. BuccaneersBUY0.38$2.4k
10-20 19:16Buccaneers vs. LionsBUY0.7$1.5k
10-10 21:08Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025BUY0.2$3.0k
10-10 21:08Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025BUY0.2$3.0k
11-06 00:27Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.382$3.8k