Grisk
0x0371d66567d3f0b06711ba5922e06937ca0792bb
- Realised P&L
- $-584.2k
- Volume
- $2.34M
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-24.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.7kat 0.588Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?
- +$4.0kat 0.700Buccaneers vs. Lions
- +$1.9kat 0.510Bills vs. Jaguars
- +$1.1kat 0.635Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
- +$864.00at 0.584Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 00:47 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $3.9k |
| 10-29 20:57 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0299924638 | $206.95 |
| 09-13 20:38 | Cardinals vs. Chargers | BUY | 0.7022981047 | $2.7k |
| 09-12 23:12 | Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall | BUY | 0.7975580936 | $1000.00 |
| 09-12 23:10 | Tulsa vs. Sam Houston | BUY | 0.7299999999 | $700.00 |
| 09-12 23:06 | Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall | BUY | 0.7799999999 | $1000.00 |
| 09-12 22:47 | Tulsa vs. Sam Houston | BUY | 0.82 | $733.87 |
| 09-12 22:46 | Iowa State vs. Iowa | BUY | 0.8494042842 | $1.5k |
| 09-12 22:44 | Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall | BUY | 0.82 | $1.7k |
| 01-08 06:41 | Bills vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.51 | $2.0k |
| 11-30 16:12 | Cardinals vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.38 | $2.4k |
| 10-20 19:16 | Buccaneers vs. Lions | BUY | 0.7 | $1.5k |
| 10-10 21:08 | Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.2 | $3.0k |
| 10-10 21:08 | Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | BUY | 0.2 | $3.0k |
| 11-06 00:27 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.382 | $3.8k |