btcisokkk
0x0370e7be3dc5f0ffa1af20fdbb3a8e23fbe99b24
- Realised P&L
- $305.08
- Volume
- $66.5k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $559.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.855 | $342.00 | −$6.00 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.755 | $113.25 | −$3.75 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.716 | $71.55 | −$10.45 |
| Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.005 | $33.03 | −$3.00 |
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.30 |
| Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.91 |
| Will Elon tweet between 600 and 629 times August 29–September 5? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$213.06at 0.006Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$93.00at 0.690Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$10.58at 0.860Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
- +$9.90at 0.910Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$8.13at 0.875Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 07:15 | Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $36.03 |
| 05-07 13:09 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.78 | $117.00 |
| 04-17 08:28 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.87 | $348.00 |
| 04-17 08:27 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9817148985 | $137.32 |
| 03-28 14:40 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | BUY | 0.993 | $232.81 |
| 01-30 17:44 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.984 | $137.64 |
| 01-30 17:44 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.987 | $152.98 |
| 12-13 10:14 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.963 | $192.60 |
| 11-29 16:36 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9869999521 | $11.00 |
| 11-29 16:36 | Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.003 | $19.61 |
| 11-29 16:35 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025? | BUY | 0.8599999889 | $65.00 |
| 10-31 12:11 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.69 | $207.00 |
| 10-31 12:10 | Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.003 | $19.61 |
| 10-31 12:08 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.066 | $234.37 |
| 09-04 10:03 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $21.31 |