0x036fb2bcac9b90c94f771a53a3f9a6f0acef5979
0x036fb2bcac9b90c94f771a53a3f9a6f0acef5979
- Realised P&L
- $2.38
- Volume
- $143.13
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $2.25
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.215 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.200 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? · No | 0.210 | 0.105 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.17at 0.240Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$3.17at 0.240Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$2.02at 0.337S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 14?
- +$1.91at 0.349Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:30 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 01:33 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 04:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 08:13 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 00:04 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 00:04 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 12:00 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 02:20 | Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 17:18 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 09:01 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 23:30 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 14:09 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 09:06 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 09:05 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 01:03 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |