nonononononon
0x036e483707c68af6025a62adada6370e3faa7a8c
- Realised P&L
- $116.37
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 608
- Open portfolio
- $118.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded608
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.09at 0.895Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on July 20?
- +$7.01at 0.895Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 28?
- +$6.30at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 26?
- +$6.23at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 24?
- +$6.05at 0.909Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 09:50 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9446579538 | $60.00 |
| 09-20 09:50 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9699999997 | $60.00 |
| 09-18 01:24 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $62.44 |
| 09-17 09:51 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.97 | $17.46 |
| 09-17 09:51 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $60.00 |
| 09-16 15:52 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.969999996 | $4.84 |
| 09-16 15:52 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.89 |
| 09-16 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.998 | $59.83 |
| 09-16 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.97 | $42.68 |
| 09-16 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $63.33 |
| 09-16 11:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9699999937 | $3.10 |
| 09-16 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.969999996 | $4.84 |
| 09-16 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9255404366 | $60.00 |
| 09-16 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.969999996 | $4.84 |
| 09-16 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9699999997 | $56.90 |