0x036cabb98c8458e9a6be91e3ee69d26910f9e838
0x036cabb98c8458e9a6be91e3ee69d26910f9e838
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $268.2k
- Markets traded
- 919
- Open portfolio
- $9.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded919
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 2? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.021 | $9.39 | −$5.72 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.79 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 1? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$244.56at 0.396Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?
- +$177.96at 0.064Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?
- +$112.84at 0.038Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?
- +$112.26at 0.341Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17?
- +$102.42at 0.126Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 14:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.033 | $15.11 |
| 10-30 14:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.0091607843 | $5.84 |
| 10-30 14:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.06 | $11.79 |
| 10-30 14:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.0269999999 | $9.29 |
| 10-29 11:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.0314571895 | $24.94 |
| 10-29 11:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.4 | $28.23 |
| 10-29 04:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.038 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 04:28 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.45 | $67.50 |
| 10-28 20:01 | Will Genoa CFC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999948 | $8.93 |
| 10-28 19:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 28? | SELL | 0.089 | $9.96 |
| 10-28 17:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.0259999999 | $5.08 |
| 10-28 17:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.85 |
| 10-28 17:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 28? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 17:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 28? | BUY | 0.0446601941 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 17:30 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.45 | $22.50 |