SDIO92nBiQ
0x036c9d1ff11f11a266fb314d0d41c8c30b6f2ceb
- Realised P&L
- $-773.59
- Volume
- $65.7k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $69.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.120 | 1.000 | $50.00 | +$44.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.015 | $7.25 | −$27.75 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.011 | $5.75 | −$24.25 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.105 | $4.45 | −$14.61 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.004 | $1.75 | −$23.25 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.828 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.99 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.33at 0.231Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$5.00at 0.090Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.00at 0.080Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$4.99at 0.060Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$4.03at 0.080Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 05:52 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.828 | $49.99 |
| 04-14 04:00 | Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.06 |
| 04-14 04:00 | Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.34 |
| 04-12 02:27 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.3542498789 | $146.31 |
| 04-12 00:20 | Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.2696798 | $175.29 |
| 04-11 21:51 | Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.0270909091 | $2.09 |
| 04-10 23:40 | Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.042 | $18.40 |
| 04-10 22:15 | Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.10 |
| 04-10 22:15 | Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.59 |
| 04-10 22:05 | Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.071 | $23.71 |
| 04-10 22:05 | Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.061 | $18.91 |
| 04-10 22:00 | Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.90 |
| 04-10 22:00 | Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.16 |
| 04-10 22:00 | Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.07 | $28.86 |
| 04-10 22:00 | Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.059 | $53.10 |