s10016450
0x036aa530fb6eee4bceb5f1a265dc4fa482817819
- Realised P&L
- $-293.00
- Volume
- $129.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,759
- Open portfolio
- $204.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,759
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.56at 0.539Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on April 2?
- +$14.33at 0.445Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on March 11?
- +$12.30at 0.693Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 13?
- +$12.29at 0.739Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 1?
- +$10.58at 0.979Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 16:01 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on October 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-08 16:01 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on October 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-08 16:01 | Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on October 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-08 16:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-04 16:01 | Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on October 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-01 16:04 | Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on October 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-30 16:01 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on October 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.98 |
| 09-29 16:01 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on September 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $59.85 |
| 09-25 16:01 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-24 16:01 | Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-23 19:26 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on September 24? | BUY | 0.989 | $11.69 |
| 09-23 16:17 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on September 24? | BUY | 0.989 | $5.85 |
| 09-23 16:16 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on September 24? | BUY | 0.989 | $59.38 |
| 09-23 16:01 | Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on September 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.94 |
| 09-22 16:56 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 23? | BUY | 0.971 | $4.85 |