0x03651bF2d5EdE6519d2fE03A7E02b0917491FB14-1772440089898
0x03651bf2d5ede6519d2fe03a7e02b0917491fb14
- Realised P&L
- $-90.20
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $24.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.32at 0.151Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$30.80at 0.286Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$21.77at 0.511Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
- +$21.12at 0.513Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$20.28at 0.206Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 12:29 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0279999998 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 12:22 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0309999995 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.5899999813 | $12.00 |
| 10-28 11:41 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0348258705 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 11:39 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 11:38 | Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0359999997 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 13:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 13:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 23:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 23:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 22:24 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7089999844 | $30.00 |
| 10-21 10:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 10:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 10:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 09:56 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |