cancan
0x0362546009184d810c2ed3278e379721b81caf2e
- Realised P&L
- $-171.97
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $427.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.175 | $125.64 | +$23.25 |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.191 | 0.475 | $85.50 | +$51.20 |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.230 | $76.99 | +$31.37 |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.347 | $72.97 | +$56.62 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.430 | 0.235 | $66.42 | −$55.11 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.492 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.06 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$327.10at 0.517Fed rate cut by March 20?
- +$305.44at 0.314Fed rate cut by May 1?
- +$89.89at 0.110Fed rate cut by June 12?
- +$68.44at 0.380Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%
- +$58.03at 0.720Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 18:07 | Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.1623333333 | $38.96 |
| 10-09 23:08 | Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.154 | $16.81 |
| 10-09 15:28 | Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.1296273526 | $41.33 |
| 10-09 15:27 | Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.106 | $5.30 |
| 10-04 09:26 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.101 | $3.03 |
| 09-06 00:07 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.093 | $2.67 |
| 09-06 00:04 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 09-06 00:03 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 08-28 07:11 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.80 |
| 08-28 07:09 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.076 | $7.87 |
| 06-25 17:49 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.492 | $150.06 |
| 06-24 22:00 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $70.00 |
| 06-09 22:47 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $20.00 |
| 06-05 00:02 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.054 | $20.25 |
| 04-27 14:20 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.17 | $29.92 |