0x0361adeE010FE6D520440d8D424c2ba36DdcEE79-1778601868910
0x0361adee010fe6d520440d8d424c2ba36ddcee79
- Realised P&L
- $-21.35
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $20.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.024 | $20.87 | −$11.99 |
| Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B · Sinners | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.86at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
- +$2.26at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
- +$-5.34at 0.021Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 00:18 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | BUY | 0.024 | $3.30 |
| 08-23 00:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 07:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999823 | $4.89 |
| 06-27 20:17 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | BUY | 0.0360000009 | $1.70 |
| 06-27 20:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 03:34 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | BUY | 0.0416563737 | $4.30 |
| 06-20 03:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $10.27 |
| 06-20 03:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 09:51 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | BUY | 0.0349999911 | $3.70 |
| 05-31 10:38 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | BUY | 0.0330000003 | $3.70 |
| 05-31 10:17 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | BUY | 0.0329999816 | $1.70 |
| 05-30 17:14 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | BUY | 0.037 | $3.70 |
| 05-28 07:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $7.55 |
| 05-28 07:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 07:54 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | BUY | 0.0429999869 | $3.10 |