sagitario
0x035f5d9e0af357c02a05606b2c70c7c616c558dc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $22.3k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $8.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$229.65at 0.541Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
- +$63.05at 0.875Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?
- +$60.07at 0.516Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?
- +$58.50at 0.500Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?
- +$37.61at 0.280Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 15:56 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.20 |
| 06-13 15:56 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.60 |
| 06-13 15:56 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | SELL | 0.0050150011 | $1.97 |
| 06-01 13:40 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $480 Week of June 1 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $7.26 |
| 06-01 07:29 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.36 |
| 06-01 07:23 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $15.86 |
| 05-28 07:25 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $15.17 |
| 05-28 07:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $35.83 |
| 05-27 14:52 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $33.21 |
| 05-27 13:59 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 05-27 13:57 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May? | SELL | 0.206 | $4.94 |
| 05-24 10:45 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.55 |
| 05-24 09:13 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $11.96 |
| 05-24 03:09 | Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? | SELL | 0.4253956835 | $11.83 |
| 05-24 03:04 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999939 | $15.00 |