joonatan123
0x035dc6ae99d06eb3da92b0a216fe57394c9b26c7
- Realised P&L
- $0.76
- Volume
- $20.30
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $5.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No | 0.920 | 0.915 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.845 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No | 0.760 | 0.755 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.645 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.355 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.52at 0.884Valencia CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
- +$0.24at 0.759Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 21:03 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 21:03 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 21:02 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 21:01 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 20:54 | Valencia CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $4.55 |
| 10-17 20:50 | Valencia CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.89999982 | $3.00 |
| 10-17 20:48 | Valencia CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 20:42 | Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 20:11 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.25 |
| 10-17 19:42 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |