kit0845
0x035891db401aa14ce33f404ca16dfec1954f95a4
- Realised P&L
- $-285.54
- Volume
- $25.6k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $45.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.45at 0.164Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?
- +$124.02at 0.342Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?
- +$101.27at 0.325Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?
- +$100.03at 0.496Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?
- +$86.72at 0.422Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.390468 | $19.52 |
| 09-18 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.58 | $4.36 |
| 09-10 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.42 | $10.50 |
| 08-19 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.78 | $9.83 |
| 08-19 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.8516687526 | $20.41 |
| 08-19 01:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.44 | $44.00 |
| 08-18 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.939 | $46.95 |
| 08-13 01:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.4968 | $24.84 |
| 08-13 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 08-13 01:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.36 |
| 08-13 00:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.43 | $11.09 |
| 08-13 00:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.46 | $14.78 |
| 08-11 22:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 12? | BUY | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 08-10 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 01:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.44 | $13.20 |