0x03503e03ad5e70d3496421b9377361ba960e2cf7
- Realised P&L
- $-229.40
- Volume
- $52.3k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $25.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $25.00 | −$74.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.58at 0.900Todi: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Francesco Passaro
- +$8.40at 0.959Todi: Stefano Travaglia vs Nicolas Kicker
- +$6.26at 0.702Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$5.54at 0.656ITF W50 Hamburg Women: Sonja Zhenikhova vs Laura Mair
- +$4.31at 0.830Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 11:00 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $100.00 |
| 08-12 10:55 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.5274103951 | $57.54 |
| 08-12 10:55 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds | SELL | 0.55 | $73.66 |
| 08-12 08:37 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5499999963 | $60.00 |
| 08-12 08:35 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.5599999985 | $75.00 |
| 08-12 08:34 | Brownsburg: Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto | SELL | 0.59 | $21.13 |
| 08-11 20:32 | Todi: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Francesco Passaro | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-11 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $20.00 |
| 08-11 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $28.79 |
| 08-11 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 08-11 19:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 08-11 18:58 | Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Benjamin Bonzi | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $100.00 |
| 08-11 17:58 | Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Christopher O'Connell vs Dane Sweeny | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 08-11 17:48 | Todi: Stefano Travaglia vs Nicolas Kicker | BUY | 0.9189032733 | $190.00 |