PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LuisBot

0x033ead7ad064422936a26cbb49433b7caa0a76ae

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$18.5k
Markets traded
491
Open portfolio
$223.80

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded491
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 9? · Yes0.7101.000$115.59+$33.48
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 9? · Yes0.9431.000$58.35+$3.29
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 9? · Yes0.8031.000$33.90+$6.67
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on October 9? · No0.8451.000$15.90+$2.45
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9? · Yes0.7130.001$0.06−$80.84
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 7? · No0.7230.000$0.00−$16.20
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on September 10? · No0.5750.000$0.00−$11.50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 12? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$13.50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 21? · Yes0.7450.000$0.00−$26.83
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 4? · Yes0.4530.000$0.00−$44.40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 9? · Yes0.7380.000$0.00−$24.31
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 2? · Yes0.6580.000$0.00−$20.61
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 22? · No0.8000.000$0.00−$6.62
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8? · Yes0.4860.000$0.00−$37.21
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 30? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00−$16.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 21:04Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 9?BUY0.9431449126$55.06
10-09 19:01Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9?BUY0.7757193894$23.88
10-09 19:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 9?BUY0.7099999958$82.11
10-09 19:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9?BUY0.7565954078$9.56
10-09 19:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9?BUY0.69$11.81
10-09 18:59Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9?BUY0.68$5.44
10-09 18:59Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9?BUY0.64$9.60
10-09 18:58Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9?BUY0.687330664$20.60
10-09 16:09Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on October 9?BUY0.845360817$13.45
10-09 16:09Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 9?BUY0.8027851426$27.23
10-09 02:52Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?BUY0.95$7.15
10-09 02:52Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?BUY0.91$9.10
10-08 21:48Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 8?BUY0.7899999899$10.21
10-08 21:46Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 8?BUY0.7661538462$9.96
10-08 20:04Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 8?BUY0.7864149093$48.11