3801sadas
0x033c0ce682c2a0e324011507babdcf0c3562019b
- Realised P&L
- $-4.83
- Volume
- $282.32
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $4.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20? · Yes | 0.840 | 1.000 | $3.86 | +$0.62 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 22? · Yes | 0.966 | 0.985 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.98at 0.676Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
- +$0.91at 0.140Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?
- +$0.67at 0.715Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
- +$0.60at 0.933Solana Up or Down - September 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
- +$0.37at 0.656Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 13:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.8299999195 | $1.65 |
| 10-16 13:04 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | SELL | 0.953 | $1.67 |
| 10-16 00:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | BUY | 0.9299999715 | $1.63 |
| 10-16 00:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.18 |
| 10-16 00:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 00:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 00:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.9659999845 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 10:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.8499999465 | $1.59 |
| 10-14 10:31 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.64 |
| 10-14 04:45 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.6699999182 | $1.72 |
| 10-14 04:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.79 | $0.79 |
| 10-14 00:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 13? | SELL | 0.95 | $0.99 |
| 10-14 00:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.7399999764 | $2.51 |
| 10-14 00:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.9599996928 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 05:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $3.31 |