0x033bc3368b2966483790da13beb38d9e4006a9a7
0x033bc3368b2966483790da13beb38d9e4006a9a7
- Realised P&L
- $2.33
- Volume
- $167.30
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $6.29
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.530 | 0.958 | $1.81 | +$0.81 |
| Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70? · No | 0.750 | 0.935 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.835 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.685 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.575 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.73at 0.217Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$3.29at 0.278Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$2.84at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.58at 0.329Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.46at 0.339Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 15:56 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:51 | Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 06:42 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:44 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:36 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:30 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 06:27 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 22:27 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:15 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:13 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:49 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:35 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:34 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:21 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |