KsDf5dCs
0x033af694b9419168d1c8171457d9538ab778fc42
- Realised P&L
- $15.5k
- Volume
- $483.1k
- Markets traded
- 434
- Open portfolio
- $95.76
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded434
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-07-25? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.460 | $78.90 | −$22.30 |
| Will NK Celje win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.365 | $5.22 | +$0.21 |
| Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04? · No | 0.950 | 0.957 | $4.79 | +$0.04 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$331.99 |
| Avalanche vs. Jets · Avalanche | 0.623 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$563.51 |
| Stars vs. Penguins · Penguins | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$267.40 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.495 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$367.84 |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets · Nuggets | 0.484 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$189.04 |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$201.03 |
| Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13? · No | 0.606 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets · Minnesota Twins | 0.491 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$311.74 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$991.31 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.48 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Seattle Mariners | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$178.74 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$138.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.120Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$2.7kat 0.317Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?
- +$2.5kat 0.176Timberwolves vs. Rockets
- +$2.1kat 0.150Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-17?
- +$2.1kat 0.120Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 15:48 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.85 | $18.70 |
| 07-29 13:33 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.51 | $8.16 |
| 07-29 13:30 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.53 | $9.54 |
| 07-29 13:30 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.53 | $9.54 |
| 07-28 19:40 | Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.48 | $12.96 |
| 07-28 19:40 | Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.48 | $13.44 |
| 07-23 18:25 | Will HB win on 2026-07-23? | BUY | 0.96 | $18.75 |
| 07-23 18:15 | Will HB win on 2026-07-23? | BUY | 0.96 | $12.50 |
| 07-23 18:15 | Will HB win on 2026-07-23? | BUY | 0.96 | $12.50 |
| 07-23 17:55 | Will HB win on 2026-07-23? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.70 |
| 07-23 17:45 | Will HB win on 2026-07-23? | BUY | 0.96 | $12.50 |
| 07-23 16:16 | Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-07-23? | BUY | 0.79 | $4.74 |
| 07-23 16:16 | Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-07-23? | BUY | 0.79 | $4.74 |
| 07-23 14:57 | Will FC Vaduz win on 2026-07-23? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 07-23 14:56 | Will FC Vaduz win on 2026-07-23? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |