KsDf5dCs
0x033af694b9419168d1c8171457d9538ab778fc42
- Realised P&L
- $14.8k
- Volume
- $539.0k
- Markets traded
- 536
- Open portfolio
- $819.54
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded536
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians · Athletics | 0.340 | 0.325 | $179.10 | −$8.10 |
| New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · New York Yankees | 0.530 | 0.505 | $116.15 | −$5.75 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.450 | 0.435 | $113.24 | −$3.90 |
| Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-07-25? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.595 | $102.06 | +$0.86 |
| Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres · Miami Marlins | 0.350 | 0.345 | $92.11 | −$1.33 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros · Houston Astros | 0.470 | 0.475 | $85.03 | +$0.90 |
| Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.700 | $58.32 | +$1.67 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-20? · No | 0.550 | 0.565 | $45.00 | +$1.19 |
| Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.775 | $16.37 | +$0.32 |
| Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-09-18? · No | 0.870 | 0.895 | $6.26 | +$0.17 |
| Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.335 | $3.27 | +$0.15 |
| Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.375 | $2.63 | +$0.17 |
| Will NK Celje win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$331.99 |
| Avalanche vs. Jets · Avalanche | 0.623 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$563.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.120Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$2.7kat 0.317Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?
- +$2.5kat 0.176Timberwolves vs. Rockets
- +$2.1kat 0.150Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-17?
- +$2.1kat 0.120Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:21 | Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.45 | $11.70 |
| 09-18 12:21 | Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.45 | $11.70 |
| 09-17 13:16 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.622 | $150.49 |
| 09-17 12:23 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.39 | $93.75 |
| 09-17 12:01 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.39 | $93.75 |
| 09-17 09:47 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.39 | $93.75 |
| 09-16 17:00 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.4 | $22.00 |
| 09-16 17:00 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.4 | $22.80 |
| 09-15 16:18 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.5 | $13.50 |
| 09-15 16:18 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 09-13 13:26 | Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.7 | $39.20 |
| 09-13 13:26 | Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.7 | $297.55 |
| 09-13 12:54 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.83 | $68.89 |
| 09-13 08:02 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.84 | $9.24 |
| 09-13 08:02 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.84 | $9.24 |