0x033194bb4845aceb7979277569024f9367efba65
- Realised P&L
- $-280.77
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $854.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$202.98at 0.523Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- +$133.82at 0.647Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$92.45at 0.143Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$62.19at 0.850Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
- +$48.00at 0.822Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:38 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3609999999 | $90.55 |
| 09-17 07:38 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.022 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 07:37 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.563 | $27.73 |
| 09-11 15:28 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4499999997 | $89.41 |
| 09-11 15:27 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.964 | $172.37 |
| 09-08 15:36 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.95 | $23.09 |
| 09-08 15:30 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6349999938 | $31.28 |
| 09-08 15:30 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $58.22 |
| 08-27 15:07 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 08-27 06:58 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.333999999 | $118.73 |
| 07-21 08:02 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3139999989 | $163.61 |
| 07-18 05:12 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7299999994 | $50.00 |
| 07-14 20:21 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.8599999996 | $198.53 |
| 07-14 20:16 | Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.2 | $50.00 |
| 07-14 19:25 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.5174999884 | $20.00 |