PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Megakronos

0x033194bb4845aceb7979277569024f9367efba65

Realised P&L
$-332.04
Volume
$19.6k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$895.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 20:31France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?SELL0.0699503938$41.57
10-26 10:42France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0699999999$41.60
10-25 22:27Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.699999993$10.00
10-24 20:00Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3734214653$62.44
10-22 12:46Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.168999999$25.00
10-22 08:56Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2199999974$5.00
10-20 19:02Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.3899999945$10.00
10-18 19:34Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2783300186$50.00
10-14 07:06Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.11$37.79
10-14 07:04US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.588$139.23
10-02 10:39Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4199999966$15.00
10-01 15:58Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4269999977$52.68
10-01 07:26Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.36$71.52
09-29 11:55Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1499999993$10.00
09-29 11:54Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.013$11.82