PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x033194bb4845aceb7979277569024f9367efba65

Realised P&L
$-280.77
Volume
$15.6k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$854.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 07:38Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3609999999$90.55
09-17 07:38Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.022$20.00
09-17 07:37Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.563$27.73
09-11 15:28Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4499999997$89.41
09-11 15:27Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.964$172.37
09-08 15:36Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.95$23.09
09-08 15:30Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6349999938$31.28
09-08 15:30Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.85$58.22
08-27 15:07Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.15$30.00
08-27 06:58Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.333999999$118.73
07-21 08:02Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3139999989$163.61
07-18 05:12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7299999994$50.00
07-14 20:21Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.8599999996$198.53
07-14 20:16Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?BUY0.2$50.00
07-14 19:25Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.5174999884$20.00