PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x033194bb4845aceb7979277569024f9367efba65

Realised P&L
$-310.85
Volume
$13.4k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$681.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8380.945$225.31+$25.56
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.6610.885$211.00+$53.31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3140.305$159.18$4.43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7300.795$54.45+$4.45
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1300.130$10.00+$0.00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5500.085$7.73$42.27
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.2670.398$7.46+$2.46
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · No0.2000.195$4.88$0.13
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.2310.060$1.31$3.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 08:02Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3139999989$163.61
07-18 05:12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7299999994$50.00
07-14 20:21Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.8599999996$198.53
07-14 20:16Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?BUY0.2$50.00
07-14 19:25Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.5174999884$20.00
07-13 19:41Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.2$5.00
07-07 17:42Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.026$4.40
07-06 11:32Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0469999914$5.00
07-06 11:32Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
07-03 07:57Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.3499999615$5.00
07-03 04:32Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.9474999965$266.20
07-03 04:12Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.8599999996$89.59
07-02 14:37Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.9$0.97
07-02 14:37Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.08$6.67
06-29 08:15Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2089999917$15.00