PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

c5g4e

0x032986c6661019e641923266dd22b173c7519264

Realised P&L
$-16.08
Volume
$6.6k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$3.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · Yes0.0720.071$2.62−$0.04
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6000.380$0.63−$0.37
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$1.17
Maple Leafs vs. Wild · Wild0.6900.000$0.00−$2.73
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · No0.3700.000$0.00−$2.53
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? · No0.4300.000$0.00−$1.57
Stars vs. Sabres · Sabres0.4900.000$0.00−$1.07
Pistons vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers0.6200.000$0.00−$1.81
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 16? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$4.50
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.3530.000$0.00−$2.13
Raptors vs. Magic · Raptors0.4600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$2.40
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$1.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 08:27Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?BUY0.0719999989$2.66
08-23 19:50Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6$1.00
08-03 13:46US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.75$2.89
06-27 13:11Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.4199998247$1.15
06-23 12:55Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.6$1.60
06-21 17:09Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5$1.17
05-16 13:01Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.5799999167$1.95
05-15 13:10Pistons vs. CavaliersBUY0.6199999178$1.81
05-10 16:10Golden Knights vs. DucksBUY0.4899999362$1.69
05-07 15:35Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.429999937$1.57
05-05 21:44Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.3529999123$2.13
05-05 10:12Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.3699999025$1.67
04-16 15:41Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?BUY0.7519999853$1.23
04-15 10:29Stars vs. SabresBUY0.4899998718$1.07
04-05 13:44Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.6899999425$3.00