c5g4e
0x032986c6661019e641923266dd22b173c7519264
- Realised P&L
- $-16.08
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $3.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.06at 0.620Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
- +$2.81at 0.377Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers
- +$2.34at 0.810Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$1.80at 0.690Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$1.73at 0.497Golden Knights vs. Ducks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 08:27 | Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | BUY | 0.0719999989 | $2.66 |
| 08-23 19:50 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 13:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.89 |
| 06-27 13:11 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.4199998247 | $1.15 |
| 06-23 12:55 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.60 |
| 06-21 17:09 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.17 |
| 05-16 13:01 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5799999167 | $1.95 |
| 05-15 13:10 | Pistons vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.6199999178 | $1.81 |
| 05-10 16:10 | Golden Knights vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.4899999362 | $1.69 |
| 05-07 15:35 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.429999937 | $1.57 |
| 05-05 21:44 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.3529999123 | $2.13 |
| 05-05 10:12 | Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.3699999025 | $1.67 |
| 04-16 15:41 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | BUY | 0.7519999853 | $1.23 |
| 04-15 10:29 | Stars vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.4899998718 | $1.07 |
| 04-05 13:44 | Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6899999425 | $3.00 |