walshcorerunner
0x031d1f7293c7fe86fde9e5a2310aed9d09306ab6
- Realised P&L
- $-6.39
- Volume
- $78.87
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $4.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 19-25? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.475 | $2.17 | +$0.07 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? · No | 0.390 | 0.495 | $2.16 | +$0.46 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.80 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.25 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.71at 0.457Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
- +$2.56at 0.487Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
- +$1.25at 0.590Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
- +$0.97at 0.629Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$0.76at 0.471Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 03:20 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $2.10 |
| 10-16 05:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.3899999426 | $1.70 |
| 10-15 05:45 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.63 | $2.47 |
| 10-15 05:45 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 10-15 05:45 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 09-22 05:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 08-13 02:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.10 |
| 08-02 09:41 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 03:03 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.459 | $2.29 |
| 07-14 03:36 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 07-10 06:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July? | BUY | 0.3799998964 | $1.10 |
| 06-24 09:56 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 06-08 05:37 | Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 06-03 04:51 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998491 | $1.40 |
| 05-20 03:11 | Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | BUY | 0.5899999541 | $1.80 |