0x0317a8e7f89138445fbb7077981da99f3471b1e8
- Realised P&L
- $-0.72
- Volume
- $78.63
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $21.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.920 | $9.48 | +$1.03 |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.830 | $8.30 | +$6.00 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.170 | $1.70 | −$5.70 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.080 | $1.65 | −$1.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.05at 0.740Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?
- +$-0.11at 0.210Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?
- +$-0.24at 0.630Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 10:31 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 04-12 10:31 | Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 04-12 10:19 | Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.99 |
| 04-12 10:19 | Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.04 |
| 04-12 09:37 | Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.1499999226 | $1.55 |
| 04-12 09:37 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.8199999864 | $8.45 |
| 04-12 09:24 | Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.1499999226 | $1.55 |
| 04-12 08:35 | Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.739999989 | $4.05 |
| 04-12 08:35 | Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.209999874 | $1.15 |
| 04-12 08:21 | Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.58 |
| 04-12 07:47 | Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives? | BUY | 0.6299999377 | $1.82 |