PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Owsly

0x0312b7bd1b116634a81fcc1628a46db5789996b2

Realised P&L
$-325.81
Volume
$33.1k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$11.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · Yes0.0670.039$11.70$8.30
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$50.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$30.00
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$30.00
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00$10.00
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.2490.000$0.00$20.00
LoL: FN Esports vs Team Phantasma (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group H · FN Esports0.5400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$4.93
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 13-19? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$20.00
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$5.00
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · No0.2300.000$0.00$20.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$20.00
US forces enter Iran by March 14? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$10.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 09:42Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?BUY0.0370000003$4.93
07-15 13:12Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 13-19?BUY0.0158286771$20.00
07-15 13:12Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?BUY0.0354679792$30.00
07-15 13:11Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?BUY0.0739999987$50.00
07-15 13:10Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?BUY0.0330000001$20.00
07-15 13:09Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?BUY0.0489999985$30.00
07-15 13:09Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?BUY0.0912122403$50.00
07-13 17:32Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?BUY0.7699999998$100.00
04-28 05:53Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.39$31.20
03-30 05:29Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.35$21.88
03-27 18:46Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY0.32$20.00
03-11 17:51LoL: FN Esports vs Team Phantasma (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group HBUY0.5399999903$10.00
03-09 09:46US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY0.25$10.00
03-03 10:13Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.25$20.00
02-28 21:50Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.9760386069$36.15