VigorishStrike
0x0312986b418db0961133c3ebe479cf4fa2a0283d
- Realised P&L
- $-152.10
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $642.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.30at 0.867Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 12?
- +$14.73at 0.872Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13?
- +$13.40at 0.939Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
- +$11.15at 0.900Will Solana dip to $100 on October 12?
- +$10.85at 0.821Will Hyperliquid dip to $80 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:03 | XRP Up or Down - October 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9477025385 | $41.25 |
| 10-15 03:03 | Solana Up or Down - October 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $14.59 |
| 10-15 02:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.944 | $47.20 |
| 10-15 02:48 | XRP Up or Down - October 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8936330887 | $27.30 |
| 10-15 02:48 | Solana Up or Down - October 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.875 | $8.75 |
| 10-15 02:48 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 10-15 02:43 | XRP Up or Down - October 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8968509432 | $14.24 |
| 10-15 02:43 | Solana Up or Down - October 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999976 | $18.07 |
| 10-15 02:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9446659171 | $70.84 |
| 10-15 02:38 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9183011121 | $74.57 |
| 10-15 02:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 15? | BUY | 0.8839999978 | $17.88 |
| 10-15 02:33 | XRP Up or Down - October 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $2.54 |
| 10-15 02:33 | Solana Up or Down - October 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $22.79 |
| 10-15 02:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9461374383 | $74.71 |
| 10-15 02:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |