0x031199d522d9c5036ffb83599631c9132306da96
- Realised P&L
- $-5.4k
- Volume
- $607.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration72.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.541 | $830.78 | +$470.21 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.001 | $180.36 | −$4.0k |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $100.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.002 | $20.22 | −$222.46 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.001 | $16.06 | −$473.53 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 11:34 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $49.92 |
| 08-27 16:13 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.018 | $242.69 |
| 08-20 19:38 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $74.14 |
| 08-20 19:27 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $180.00 |
| 08-20 18:59 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $18.00 |
| 08-19 15:43 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.32 |
| 08-18 21:32 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $21.31 |
| 08-18 19:49 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.75 |
| 08-18 19:46 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $35.40 |
| 08-18 12:04 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $12.01 |
| 08-18 12:00 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $48.80 |
| 08-18 11:59 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $43.25 |
| 08-17 21:24 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.01 | $25.79 |
| 08-17 21:21 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.53 |
| 08-17 19:09 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.12 |