PolyBot

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Traders

Tilly7538

0x030f2317c4bae3e5694d4cd3aeb2672969d110db

Realised P&L
$-10.17
Volume
$95.8k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$3.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by October 31, 2026? · No0.9800.835$3.32$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 07:54Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by October 31, 2026?BUY0.98$3.90
08-08 14:43Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31?BUY0.9099999873$3.58
08-08 14:43Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?SELL0.97$3.72
07-23 07:53Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9629999987$3.70
06-07 10:36Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?BUY0.969$3.22
05-09 07:47Trump approval Up or Down this week?BUY0.99$2.50
04-10 03:21Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?BUY0.9789999198$3.76
04-10 03:20Russian strike on Poland by June 30?SELL0.934$3.76
02-24 12:00Russian strike on Poland by June 30?BUY0.97399989$3.93
02-03 00:03Will the highest temperature in New York City be 42°F or higher on February 4?BUY0.9969998195$3.91
01-29 08:34Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.9869999992$3.86
01-12 11:04Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be less than 1,800,000?BUY0.999$3.86
12-13 04:56Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?BUY0.9869999972$3.81
11-28 11:05Will Meta (META) close above $620 end of November?BUY0.988999798$3.77
11-28 10:56Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?SELL0.975$3.76