PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x030ed5868ce9b4f49f1a2bb4491c6c9af12c20eb

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
164
Open portfolio
$323.35

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded164
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the San Francisco 49ers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · Yes0.5700.949$168.70+$67.32
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.2890.295$55.47+$1.04
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5700.575$50.44+$0.44
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · No0.6150.993$48.42+$18.42
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · No0.6130.006$0.32−$29.68
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$48.00
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$17.00
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00−$230.00
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) · Patriots0.5000.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13? · No0.0930.000$0.00−$20.00
Yankees vs. Red Sox · Red Sox0.2600.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.2180.000$0.00−$100.00
Steelers vs. Patriots · Patriots0.3500.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? · Yes0.2490.000$0.00−$75.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-16 00:49Will the San Francisco 49ers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?BUY0.569999998$101.38
08-07 13:06Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.2894703029$54.43
07-19 16:23Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?BUY0.6148975125$30.00
07-19 16:23Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?BUY0.6129999935$30.00
06-01 20:49Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Washington Commanders in 2026-27?BUY0.4999170138$50.00
05-30 17:30Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.2899999956$30.00
05-17 14:27Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.2299999952$30.00
05-17 14:27Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.5699999967$50.00
03-17 19:26Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?SELL0.11$165.00
03-17 19:25Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY0.2899999991$200.00
03-17 19:22Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?BUY0.1199999995$200.00
02-24 23:12US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?BUY0.2599999988$134.00
02-06 04:30Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)BUY0.5$100.00
02-04 21:48Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?BUY0.8299999977$50.00
01-26 00:45Patriots vs. BroncosSELL0.999$72.39