PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Polymaker12

0x030ed5868ce9b4f49f1a2bb4491c6c9af12c20eb

Realised P&L
$-651.90
Volume
$217.8k
Markets traded
164
Open portfolio
$283.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded164
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the San Francisco 49ers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · Yes0.5700.680$120.94+$19.56
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.2890.315$59.23+$4.80
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5700.625$54.82+$4.82
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · No0.6150.985$48.03+$18.03
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · No0.6130.004$0.20$29.80
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$48.00
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$17.00
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$230.00
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) · Patriots0.5000.000$0.00$100.00
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13? · No0.0930.000$0.00$20.00
Yankees vs. Red Sox · Red Sox0.2600.000$0.00$25.00
Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$50.00
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.2180.000$0.00$100.00
Steelers vs. Patriots · Patriots0.3500.000$0.00$30.00
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? · Yes0.2490.000$0.00$75.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-16 00:49Will the San Francisco 49ers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?BUY0.569999998$101.38
08-07 13:06Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.2894703029$54.43
07-19 16:23Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?BUY0.6148975125$30.00
07-19 16:23Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?BUY0.6129999935$30.00
06-01 20:49Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Washington Commanders in 2026-27?BUY0.4999170138$50.00
05-30 17:30Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.2899999956$30.00
05-17 14:27Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.2299999952$30.00
05-17 14:27Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.5699999967$50.00
03-17 19:26Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?SELL0.11$165.00
03-17 19:25Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY0.2899999991$200.00
03-17 19:22Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?BUY0.1199999995$200.00
02-24 23:12US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?BUY0.2599999988$134.00
02-06 04:30Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)BUY0.5$100.00
02-04 21:48Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?BUY0.8299999977$50.00
01-26 00:45Patriots vs. BroncosSELL0.999$72.39