PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x030a8e0876ed16a2abc45e0ed1c70c08a712bb67

0x030a8e0876ed16a2abc45e0ed1c70c08a712bb67

Realised P&L
$12.16
Volume
$261.08
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$8.11

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20? · Up0.4900.890$1.82+$0.82
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · No0.5400.790$1.46+$0.46
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes0.3100.295$0.95−$0.05
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? · Yes0.7100.615$0.87−$0.13
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? · No0.4000.310$0.78−$0.23
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes0.3600.270$0.75−$0.25
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26? · Yes0.6700.390$0.58−$0.42
Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.3100.155$0.50−$0.50
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? · Yes0.7200.290$0.40−$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 13:12S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-20 05:10Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?BUY0.6699996918$1.00
10-19 21:10Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-19 13:09Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-19 05:09Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-18 21:09Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-18 12:02Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-17 23:56Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?BUY0.4$1.00
10-17 15:54Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-16 12:41SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-16 04:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-16 04:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-15 19:05S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?BUY0.8099999352$1.00
10-15 09:55SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-15 00:39Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.469999906$1.00