0x030a8e0876ed16a2abc45e0ed1c70c08a712bb67
0x030a8e0876ed16a2abc45e0ed1c70c08a712bb67
- Realised P&L
- $12.16
- Volume
- $261.08
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $8.11
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20? · Up | 0.490 | 0.890 | $1.82 | +$0.82 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.790 | $1.46 | +$0.46 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.295 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.615 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? · No | 0.400 | 0.310 | $0.78 | −$0.23 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.270 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.390 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.155 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.290 | $0.40 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.65at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 12 2026?
- +$3.10at 0.268Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.329Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.319SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 13:12 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 05:10 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 21:10 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 13:09 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 05:09 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 21:09 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 12:02 | Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 23:56 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:54 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 12:41 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 04:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 04:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 19:05 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:55 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 00:39 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |